St. Pölten 1-2 Ried — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2025

St. Pölten
1-2 HT 0-1
Ried
📅18/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Austria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

St. Pölten vs Ried Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.81
6+ Goals
8%
17.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.6
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
28.5
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
8%
6.32
X/2
14%
5.18
X/X
12%
4.36
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
19%
3.38
2/X
9%
13.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 7% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Pölten v Ried — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Ried EU Bookmakers 43%
-12% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.26/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.31
-80% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
219 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.9
– Crosses 26.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

St. Pölten vs Ried Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pölten
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ried
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.13 xG 0.66
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
369 Passes 188
74% Pass Accuracy 63%
16 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.10.2024 Ried Ried 2-4 HT 1-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
10.05.2024 St. Pölten St. Pölten 0-4 HT 0-3 Ried Ried AU2
29.10.2023 Ried Ried 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
27.04.2021 St. Pölten St. Pölten 0-0 HT 0-0 Ried Ried AVU
24.04.2021 Ried Ried 2-1 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AVU
14.02.2021 Ried Ried 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AVU
POST-MATCH St. Pölten vs Ried
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ried nicked a narrow win over St. Pölten 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ried as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ried led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for St. Pölten and 1.67 for Ried.

What was the final score of St. Pölten vs Ried?

St. Pölten 1-2 Ried in the Austria - 1st Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pölten vs Ried?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split St. Pölten 33%, draw 27%, Ried 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ried), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ried) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AU2 More Austria - 1st Division
18 Apr 2025
19:00 Kapfenberger SV vs Amstetten Analysis →
19:00 Lafnitz vs Voitsberg Analysis →
19:00 Floridsdorfer AC vs Rapid Wien II Analysis →
19:00 SV Horn vs Bregenz Analysis →
19:00 Austria Lustenau vs FC Liefering Analysis →
21:30 Admira Wacker vs Stripfing Analysis →