Kapfenberger SV 3-2 Amstetten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.99
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
2.93
6+ Goals
11%
8.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.77
1/2
8%
25.0
1/X
10%
13.0
X/1
13%
6.04
X/2
10%
5.77
X/X
12%
5.38
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
26.0
2/2
16%
3.52
2/X
4%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.6pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Amstetten EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.43/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.50
-3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
259 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 72%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.3 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapfenberger SV
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Amstetten
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.10.2024 Amstetten Amstetten 3-0 HT 1-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
27.10.2023 Amstetten Amstetten 1-1 HT 0-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
07.04.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-1 HT 1-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
22.07.2022 Amstetten Amstetten 3-0 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
18.04.2022 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-2 HT 0-2 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
01.10.2021 Amstetten Amstetten 3-0 HT 1-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kapfenberger SV
3-2
AWAY Amstetten
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kapfenberger SV vs Amstetten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapfenberger SV nicked a narrow win over Amstetten 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Kapfenberger SV made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Kapfenberger SV had 47% of the ball to Amstetten's 53%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Amstetten led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Kapfenberger SV and 2.17 for Amstetten.

What was the final score of Kapfenberger SV vs Amstetten?

Kapfenberger SV 3-2 Amstetten in the Austria - 1st Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapfenberger SV vs Amstetten?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kapfenberger SV win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kapfenberger SV 40%, draw 27%, Amstetten 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kapfenberger SV), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kapfenberger SV) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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