VPS vs IFK Mariehamn Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
VPS v IFK Mariehamn — Team-Based Signals
VPS vs IFK Mariehamn Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-2
VPS
FİN
2-1
HT 1-0
IFK Mariehamn
FİN
2-2
HT 0-1
VPS
FİN
VPS 1-1 IFK Mariehamn — Actual Match Statistics
VPS and IFK Mariehamn couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had VPS at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, VPS had 51% of the ball to IFK Mariehamn's 49%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.94 to 0.44.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for VPS and 1.00 for IFK Mariehamn.
What was the final score of VPS vs IFK Mariehamn?
VPS 1-1 IFK Mariehamn in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 01/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for VPS vs IFK Mariehamn?
Before kick-off our model rated a VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split VPS 56%, draw 20%, IFK Mariehamn 24%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.