San Martin San Juan 1-1 Atletico Rafaela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.75
No
66%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
23%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.6pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.8pp
17%
Away Win
17%
-0.2pp
34%
BTTS Yes
32%
+2.2pp
66%
BTTS No
68%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Rafaela EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.54/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.23
+14% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin San Juan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Atletico Rafaela
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
14.03.2026 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 1-0 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
15.09.2024 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
28.04.2024 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
29.08.2022 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 3-0 HT 2-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
24.07.2021 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 0-2 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
13.03.2021 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 4-2 HT 2-2 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Martin San Juan vs Atletico Rafaela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin San Juan and Atletico Rafaela couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was San Martin San Juan at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Martin San Juan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for San Martin San Juan and 1.17 for Atletico Rafaela.

What was the final score of San Martin San Juan vs Atletico Rafaela?

San Martin San Juan 1-1 Atletico Rafaela in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin San Juan vs Atletico Rafaela?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin San Juan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split San Martin San Juan 49%, draw 34%, Atletico Rafaela 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (San Martin San Juan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Martin San Juan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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