Gold Coast United 1-0 Gold Coast Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒08:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
57%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.46
No
51%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
52%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+3.5pp
18%
Draw
22%
-3.9pp
57%
Away Win
57%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
64%
-15.5pp
51%
BTTS No
36%
+15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gold Coast United EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 61%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.45/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.02
+30% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +67%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
284 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 498 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.1 Crosses 23.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gold Coast United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gold Coast Knights
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.07.2026 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 1-1 HT 0-0 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
02.08.2025 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 0-1 HT 0-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
24.05.2025 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 0-1 HT 0-0 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
01.06.2024 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 5-1 HT 3-1 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVNPL
01.03.2024 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 1-2 HT 0-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
03.06.2023 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 1-2 HT 0-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Gold Coast United vs Gold Coast Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast United squeezed past Gold Coast Knights 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Gold Coast Knights at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast Knights led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gold Coast United and 1.83 for Gold Coast Knights.

What was the final score of Gold Coast United vs Gold Coast Knights?

Gold Coast United 1-0 Gold Coast Knights in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gold Coast United vs Gold Coast Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Gold Coast United 25%, draw 18%, Gold Coast Knights 57%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Gold Coast Knights), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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