Queensland Lions 1-0 Peninsula Power — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
17%
3.64
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
22%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.4pp
17%
Draw
24%
-7.0pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+8.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.2pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.04/2.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/2.37
-39% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
389 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.4 Crosses 14.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queensland Lions
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Peninsula Power
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.04.2026 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 3-2 HT 2-1 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
06.09.2025 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 3-0 HT 2-0 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPLQ
02.08.2025 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 1-2 HT 0-1 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
24.05.2025 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 1-1 HT 0-0 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
25.05.2024 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 3-1 HT 2-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
24.02.2024 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 0-3 HT 0-2 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
POST-MATCH Queensland Lions vs Peninsula Power
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queensland Lions nicked a narrow win over Peninsula Power 1-0.

Our pre-match split (44% / 17% / 39%) promised a tight game; Queensland Lions found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queensland Lions had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Queensland Lions and 1.00 for Peninsula Power.

What was the final score of Queensland Lions vs Peninsula Power?

Queensland Lions 1-0 Peninsula Power in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queensland Lions vs Peninsula Power?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Queensland Lions 44%, draw 17%, Peninsula Power 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queensland Lions) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Queensland Lions) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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