Peninsula Power 3-2 Queensland Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
54%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
-0.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
54%
Away Win
54%
-0.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.2pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 58%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.26/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.61/1.19
-4% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.7 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peninsula Power
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Queensland Lions
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
06.09.2025 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 3-0 HT 2-0 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPLQ
02.08.2025 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 1-2 HT 0-1 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
24.05.2025 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 1-1 HT 0-0 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
25.05.2024 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 3-1 HT 2-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
24.02.2024 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 0-3 HT 0-2 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
08.07.2023 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 2-2 HT 1-1 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
POST-MATCH Peninsula Power vs Queensland Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peninsula Power edged past Queensland Lions 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Queensland Lions at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queensland Lions led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Peninsula Power and 2.33 for Queensland Lions.

What was the final score of Peninsula Power vs Queensland Lions?

Peninsula Power 3-2 Queensland Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peninsula Power vs Queensland Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Peninsula Power 23%, draw 23%, Queensland Lions 54%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Queensland Lions) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Queensland Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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