Pontardawe Town FC 3-0 Caerphilly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 1 Aug 2026

Pontardawe Town FC
3-0 HT 1-0
Caerphilly
📅01/08/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2026/2027

Pontardawe Town FC vs Caerphilly Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.67
Draw
16%
3.64
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
34%
+12.7pp
16%
Draw
24%
-8.2pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.7pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pontardawe Town FC v Caerphilly — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontardawe Town FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Caerphilly EU Bookmakers 46%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+45% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
293 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Pontardawe Town FC vs Caerphilly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontardawe Town FC ran out comfortable winners over Caerphilly 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pontardawe Town FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Pontardawe Town FC vs Caerphilly?

Pontardawe Town FC 3-0 Caerphilly in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontardawe Town FC vs Caerphilly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontardawe Town FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pontardawe Town FC 46%, draw 16%, Caerphilly 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontardawe Town FC), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pontardawe Town FC) ✓ Over 2.5
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