De Graafschap 1-5 Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
48%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.25
No
47%
3.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+0.2pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.4pp
48%
Away Win
47%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
76%
-22.3pp
47%
BTTS No
24%
+22.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME De Graafschap EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior EU Bookmakers 51%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.00/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.18/1.51
-25% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -88% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
336 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME De Graafschap
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Excelsior
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.34 xG 1.07
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
351 Passes 306
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2025 De Graafschap De Graafschap 2-1 HT 1-1 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
16.08.2024 Excelsior Excelsior 3-1 HT 1-0 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
14.01.2022 Excelsior Excelsior 0-0 HT 0-0 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
17.09.2021 De Graafschap De Graafschap 3-1 HT 0-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
19.03.2021 De Graafschap De Graafschap 1-1 HT 1-1 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
05.10.2020 Excelsior Excelsior 1-2 HT 1-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
FAQ De Graafschap vs Excelsior
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Excelsior ran out comfortable winners over De Graafschap 5-1 away from home in the Friendlies on 1 Aug 2026. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 55% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for De Graafschap and 1.17 for Excelsior.

What was the final score of De Graafschap vs Excelsior?

De Graafschap 1-5 Excelsior in the Friendlies on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for De Graafschap vs Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated an Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split De Graafschap 32%, draw 20%, Excelsior 48%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Excelsior), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Excelsior) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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