De Graafschap vs Excelsior Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
De Graafschap v Excelsior — Team-Based Signals
De Graafschap vs Excelsior Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
De Graafschap
HOL2
3-1
HT 0-0
Excelsior
HOL2
1-1
HT 1-1
Excelsior
HOL2
1-2
HT 1-1
De Graafschap
HOL2
0-0
HT 0-0
Excelsior
HOL2
De Graafschap 2-1 Excelsior — Actual Match Statistics
De Graafschap edged past Excelsior 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had De Graafschap as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, De Graafschap had 49% of the ball to Excelsior's 51%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.74 to 1.03.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for De Graafschap and 1.00 for Excelsior.
What was the final score of De Graafschap vs Excelsior?
De Graafschap 2-1 Excelsior in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for De Graafschap vs Excelsior?
Before kick-off our model rated a De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split De Graafschap 50%, draw 23%, Excelsior 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (De Graafschap), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.