FC Eindhoven 3-3 Vitesse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.03
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
28%
2.85
6+ Goals
13%
8.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.94
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
9%
12.4
X/1
14%
5.22
X/2
10%
6.86
X/X
10%
5.28
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.0
2/2
11%
4.49
2/X
7%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.0 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.4pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitesse EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.65/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.56
-13% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
21.9 Crosses 16.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Eindhoven
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Vitesse
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.36 xG 1.27
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 10
352 Passes 377
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 35
5 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2024 Vitesse Vitesse 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
22.12.2011 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-2 HT 0-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Eindhoven
3-3
AWAY Vitesse
2.02 xG 2.51
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
359 Passes 311
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Eindhoven and Vitesse shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FC Eindhoven at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FC Eindhoven had 52% of the ball to Vitesse's 48%, shots finished 16-20, expected goals 2.02 to 2.51.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vitesse led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Eindhoven and 1.50 for Vitesse.

What was the final score of FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse?

FC Eindhoven 3-3 Vitesse in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FC Eindhoven 46%, draw 26%, Vitesse 28%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Eindhoven) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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