Emmen 0-1 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 7 Mar 2025

Emmen
0-1 HT 0-1
ADO Den Haag
📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Emmen vs ADO Den Haag Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
42%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.5
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.11
6+ Goals
14%
10.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.11 — our 27% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.96
1/2
9%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
8%
6.11
X/2
15%
5.59
X/X
14%
4.84
2/1
11%
28.0
2/2
18%
3.45
2/X
6%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+4.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.9pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Emmen v ADO Den Haag — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.44/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.25
+5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
20.0 Crosses 19.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Emmen vs ADO Den Haag Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.08 xG 0.89
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
384 Passes 286
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.11.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 2-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
26.01.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 3-0 HT 2-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
20.10.2023 Emmen Emmen 2-3 HT 2-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
06.05.2022 Emmen Emmen 3-0 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
20.08.2021 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-2 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
23.01.2021 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-0 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL

Emmen 0-1 ADO Den Haag — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
0-1
AWAY ADO Den Haag
0.30 xG 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 12
263 Passes 230
72% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Emmen vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag edged past Emmen 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Emmen had 52% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 48%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 0.30 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Emmen and 1.50 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of Emmen vs ADO Den Haag?

Emmen 0-1 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated an ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Emmen 33%, draw 25%, ADO Den Haag 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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