VVV-Venlo vs Ajax II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
VVV-Venlo v Ajax II — Team-Based Signals
VVV-Venlo vs Ajax II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
VVV-Venlo
HOL2
0-1
HT 0-0
Ajax II
HOL2
1-1
HT 1-1
VVV-Venlo
HOL2
6-1
HT 1-1
VVV-Venlo
HOL2
VVV-Venlo 1-0 Ajax II — Actual Match Statistics
VVV-Venlo edged past Ajax II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had VVV-Venlo as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, VVV-Venlo had 43% of the ball to Ajax II's 57%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.17 to 0.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold VVV-Venlo's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for VVV-Venlo and 1.83 for Ajax II.
What was the final score of VVV-Venlo vs Ajax II?
VVV-Venlo 1-0 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for VVV-Venlo vs Ajax II?
Before kick-off our model rated a VVV-Venlo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split VVV-Venlo 43%, draw 25%, Ajax II 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VVV-Venlo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.