Empoli 1-1 Spezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.2pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Empoli EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Spezia EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.00/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/2.00
-37% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Spezia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.28 xG 1.18
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
348 Passes 247
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2026 Spezia Spezia 1-1 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTB
14.09.2025 Empoli Empoli 1-1 HT 0-1 Spezia Spezia İTB
26.07.2024 Empoli Empoli 2-0 HT 0-0 Spezia Spezia HAZ
11.02.2023 Empoli Empoli 2-2 HT 0-2 Spezia Spezia İTA
14.08.2022 Spezia Spezia 1-0 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
09.04.2022 Empoli Empoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Spezia Spezia İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli
1-1
AWAY Spezia
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Empoli vs Spezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Empoli and Spezia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Empoli at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 6-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Empoli and 0.83 for Spezia.

What was the final score of Empoli vs Spezia?

Empoli 1-1 Spezia in the Friendlies on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Empoli vs Spezia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Empoli win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Empoli 43%, draw 25%, Spezia 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Empoli), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Empoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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