Spezia vs Empoli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spezia v Empoli — Team-Based Signals
Spezia vs Empoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-2
Spezia
İTA
1-0
HT 1-0
Empoli
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Spezia
İTA
1-1
HT 0-0
Empoli
İTA
Spezia 1-1 Empoli — Actual Match Statistics
Spezia and Empoli couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Spezia had 52% of the ball to Empoli's 48%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.36 to 1.51.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Spezia and 1.00 for Empoli.
What was the final score of Spezia vs Empoli?
Spezia 1-1 Empoli in the Italy - Serie B on 17/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spezia vs Empoli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spezia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Spezia 37%, draw 32%, Empoli 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Spezia) went the other way.