Venezia vs Padova Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Venezia v Padova Calcio — Team-Based Signals
Venezia vs Padova Calcio Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Padova Calcio
İTB
1-0
HT 1-0
Venezia
İTB
Venezia 3-1 Padova Calcio — Actual Match Statistics
Venezia beat Padova Calcio 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Venezia as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.
On the day, Venezia had 65% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 35%, shots finished 30-8, expected goals 3.68 to 0.59.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Venezia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Venezia and 0.67 for Padova Calcio.
What was the final score of Venezia vs Padova Calcio?
Venezia 3-1 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 17/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Venezia vs Padova Calcio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Venezia 74%, draw 15%, Padova Calcio 12%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venezia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.