Padova Calcio 0-2 Venezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 22 Nov 2025

Padova Calcio
0-2 HT 0-1
Venezia
📅22/11/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Padova Calcio vs Venezia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
49%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.23
6+ Goals
9%
21.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.67 — our 32% vs market 31.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.54
1/2
5%
27.5
1/X
7%
15.55
X/1
8%
7.89
X/2
10%
4.38
X/X
13%
4.35
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
34%
2.66
2/X
6%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
49%
Away Win
48%
+0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Padova Calcio v Venezia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezia EU Bookmakers 52%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.04/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/1.35
+16% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -62%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
17.0 Crosses 18.7
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Padova Calcio vs Venezia Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Padova Calcio
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Venezia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.52 xG 1.05
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
304 Passes 320
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.01.2019 Venezia Venezia 2-1 HT 1-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTB
01.09.2018 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-0 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTB

Padova Calcio 0-2 Venezia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Padova Calcio
0-2
AWAY Venezia
0.77 xG 1.95
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 6
260 Passes 375
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 31
19 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Padova Calcio vs Venezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezia beat Padova Calcio 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Venezia as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Padova Calcio had 43% of the ball to Venezia's 57%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.77 to 1.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Padova Calcio and 1.00 for Venezia.

What was the final score of Padova Calcio vs Venezia?

Padova Calcio 0-2 Venezia in the Italy - Serie B on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Padova Calcio vs Venezia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 26%, draw 25%, Venezia 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venezia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Venezia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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