FC Bari 1908 2-3 Frosinone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.59
6+ Goals
11%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 33% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.89
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
10%
13.0
X/1
9%
6.89
X/2
13%
5.23
X/X
16%
4.44
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
16%
3.16
2/X
5%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+2.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.1pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Frosinone EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.24/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.33
+3% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
20.9 Crosses 17.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bari 1908
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Frosinone
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.83 xG 1.27
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
296 Passes 399
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.02.2025 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-1 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
22.09.2024 Frosinone Frosinone 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
24.07.2024 Frosinone Frosinone 3-4 HT 2-2 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 HAZ
11.03.2023 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 0-0 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
22.10.2022 Frosinone Frosinone 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
10.02.2018 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-0 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Bari 1908
2-3
AWAY Frosinone
1.27 xG 2.72
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 28
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
315 Passes 296
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 60
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Bari 1908 vs Frosinone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frosinone nicked a narrow win over FC Bari 1908 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day Frosinone made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 51% of the ball to Frosinone's 49%, shots finished 10-28, expected goals 1.27 to 2.72 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Frosinone's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Bari 1908 and 0.83 for Frosinone.

What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Frosinone?

FC Bari 1908 2-3 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie B on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Frosinone?

Before kick-off our model rated an Frosinone win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 33%, draw 31%, Frosinone 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Frosinone), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Frosinone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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