Virtus Entella 1-1 Palermo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 22 Nov 2025

Virtus Entella
1-1 HT 1-0
Palermo
📅22/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Virtus Entella vs Palermo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.22
6+ Goals
8%
21.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 34% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.22
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
5%
12.75
X/1
15%
6.03
X/2
17%
5.74
X/X
15%
3.91
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
17%
3.91
2/X
7%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.4pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Virtus Entella v Palermo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Palermo EU Bookmakers 39%
+9% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -16%
1.65/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.30
+16% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
23.9 Crosses 19.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Virtus Entella vs Palermo Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Entella
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Palermo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
21.05.2022 Palermo Palermo 2-2 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
17.05.2022 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-2 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTC
29.03.2018 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-2 HT 0-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
28.10.2017 Palermo Palermo 2-0 HT 1-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB

Virtus Entella 1-1 Palermo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Entella
1-1
AWAY Palermo
1.15 xG 1.14
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 7
247 Passes 314
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 34
23 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Virtus Entella vs Palermo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Entella and Palermo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Virtus Entella had 46% of the ball to Palermo's 54%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 1.15 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Palermo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Virtus Entella and 2.00 for Palermo.

What was the final score of Virtus Entella vs Palermo?

Virtus Entella 1-1 Palermo in the Italy - Serie B on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Entella vs Palermo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Virtus Entella 33%, draw 27%, Palermo 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Palermo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palermo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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