Avellino 0-3 Empoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.73
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
4.13
6+ Goals
9%
20.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.13 — our 26% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.58
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
10%
5.38
X/2
10%
6.27
X/X
17%
4.06
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
11%
4.54
2/X
9%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.7pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avellino EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Empoli EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
1.93/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.49
+59% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
332 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 81%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
14.0 Crosses 19.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avellino
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Empoli
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
27.02.2018 Empoli Empoli 1-1 HT 1-0 Avellino Avellino İTB
30.09.2017 Avellino Avellino 3-2 HT 0-1 Empoli Empoli İTB
07.03.2014 Empoli Empoli 0-1 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTB
30.09.2013 Avellino Avellino 1-0 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTB
30.05.2009 Avellino Avellino 0-1 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTB
17.01.2009 Empoli Empoli 1-1 HT 1-1 Avellino Avellino İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avellino
0-3
AWAY Empoli
1.75 xG 1.86
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
433 Passes 288
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 22
32 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Avellino vs Empoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Empoli swept aside Avellino 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Empoli made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Avellino had 58% of the ball to Empoli's 42%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.75 to 1.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avellino had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Avellino and 0.83 for Empoli.

What was the final score of Avellino vs Empoli?

Avellino 0-3 Empoli in the Italy - Serie B on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avellino vs Empoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Avellino 40%, draw 30%, Empoli 30%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Avellino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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