Palermo 2-2 Juve Stabia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 17 Mar 2026

📅17/03/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
16%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.59
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.2
6+ Goals
8%
21.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.15
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
14.65
X/1 EV+ ✗
27%
4.04
X/2
4%
10.3
X/X
12%
4.28
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
6%
9.11
2/X
4%
16.8
Value flag · X/1 at 4.04 — our 27% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
56%
+2.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
16%
Away Win
18%
-1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palermo EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.67/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.32
-4% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
23.3 Crosses 15.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palermo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Juve Stabia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.91 xG 1.11
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
201 Passes 335
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-0 HT 1-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
17.05.2025 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-0 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
19.01.2025 Palermo Palermo 1-0 HT 0-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
14.09.2024 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-3 HT 0-2 Palermo Palermo İTB
12.02.2022 Palermo Palermo 3-1 HT 2-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTC
04.10.2021 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 0-0 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palermo
2-2
AWAY Juve Stabia
2.93 xG 1.14
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
395 Passes 293
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 12
43 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Palermo vs Juve Stabia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palermo and Juve Stabia shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Palermo carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Palermo had 57% of the ball to Juve Stabia's 43%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 2.93 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palermo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Palermo and 0.67 for Juve Stabia.

What was the final score of Palermo vs Juve Stabia?

Palermo 2-2 Juve Stabia in the Italy - Serie B on 17/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palermo vs Juve Stabia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Palermo 59%, draw 25%, Juve Stabia 16%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Palermo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palermo) ✓ BTTS Yes
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