Palermo 1-0 Juve Stabia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.14
6+ Goals
9%
20.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.59
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
12.65
X/1
13%
4.56
X/2
9%
8.5
X/X
12%
3.96
2/1
5%
28.0
2/2
9%
6.95
2/X
9%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.2pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+0.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palermo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.73/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.00
-3% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
279 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
25.0 Crosses 15.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palermo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Juve Stabia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.56 xG 1.47
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
197 Passes 523
76% Pass Accuracy 90%
14 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-3 HT 0-2 Palermo Palermo İTB
12.02.2022 Palermo Palermo 3-1 HT 2-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTC
04.10.2021 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 0-0 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTC
19.05.2021 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 0-2 HT 0-1 Palermo Palermo İTC
07.03.2021 Palermo Palermo 2-4 HT 1-1 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTC
12.11.2020 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-2 HT 0-1 Palermo Palermo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palermo
1-0
AWAY Juve Stabia
1.20 xG 1.26
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
175 Passes 362
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Palermo vs Juve Stabia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palermo nicked a narrow win over Juve Stabia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Palermo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Palermo had 36% of the ball to Juve Stabia's 64%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.20 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palermo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Palermo and 1.17 for Juve Stabia.

What was the final score of Palermo vs Juve Stabia?

Palermo 1-0 Juve Stabia in the Italy - Serie B on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palermo vs Juve Stabia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Palermo 46%, draw 31%, Juve Stabia 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palermo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Palermo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
19 Jan 2025
17:00 Sassuolo vs Südtirol Analysis →
17:00 Catanzaro vs Pisa Analysis →
19:15 Carrarese vs Spezia Analysis →