Juve Stabia 1-3 Palermo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 14 Sep 2024

Juve Stabia
1-3 HT 0-2
Palermo
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Juve Stabia vs Palermo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.71
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.31
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 33% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.3
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
15%
5.85
X/2
13%
5.13
X/X
14%
3.99
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.58
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.7pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Juve Stabia v Palermo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Palermo EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.39/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.24
+8% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
262 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
20.4 Crosses 20.2
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Juve Stabia vs Palermo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juve Stabia
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Palermo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.02.2022 Palermo Palermo 3-1 HT 2-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTC
04.10.2021 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 0-0 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTC
19.05.2021 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 0-2 HT 0-1 Palermo Palermo İTC
07.03.2021 Palermo Palermo 2-4 HT 1-1 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTC
12.11.2020 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-2 HT 0-1 Palermo Palermo İTC
10.03.2014 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 0-3 HT 0-3 Palermo Palermo İTB

Juve Stabia 1-3 Palermo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juve Stabia
1-3
AWAY Palermo
1.47 xG 1.56
69% Ball Possession 31%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
523 Passes 197
90% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juve Stabia vs Palermo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palermo beat Juve Stabia 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Palermo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Juve Stabia had 69% of the ball to Palermo's 31%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.47 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palermo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Juve Stabia and 2.00 for Palermo.

What was the final score of Juve Stabia vs Palermo?

Juve Stabia 1-3 Palermo in the Italy - Serie B on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juve Stabia vs Palermo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Juve Stabia 35%, draw 28%, Palermo 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palermo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Palermo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
14 Sep 2024
16:00 Cittadella vs Catanzaro Analysis →
16:00 FC Bari 1908 vs Mantova Analysis →
16:00 Cremonese vs Spezia Analysis →
16:00 Brescia vs Frosinone Analysis →