Cittadella 0-0 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.36
6+ Goals
9%
22.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 33% vs market 31.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.43
1/2
11%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.15
X/1
10%
4.81
X/2
11%
5.75
X/X
18%
4.2
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
13%
4.39
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.9pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cittadella EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.29/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.52
-10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
23.1 Crosses 12.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cittadella
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Catanzaro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.99 xG 1.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
203 Passes 476
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Cittadella Cittadella 1-2 HT 1-1 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
27.09.2023 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-1 HT 1-1 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cittadella
0-0
AWAY Catanzaro
0.95 xG 0.52
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
234 Passes 407
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 22
27 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cittadella vs Catanzaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cittadella and Catanzaro played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Cittadella had 41% of the ball to Catanzaro's 59%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 0.95 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Catanzaro led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cittadella and 1.50 for Catanzaro.

What was the final score of Cittadella vs Catanzaro?

Cittadella 0-0 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cittadella vs Catanzaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 35%, draw 31%, Catanzaro 35%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/31/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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