Brescia 4-0 Frosinone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 14 Sep 2024

Brescia
4-0 HT 3-0
Frosinone
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Brescia vs Frosinone Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.16
6+ Goals
9%
20.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 34% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.52
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
12%
5.09
X/2
11%
5.87
X/X
18%
4.11
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
11%
4.3
2/X
8%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.5pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.8pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brescia v Frosinone — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brescia EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Frosinone EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.29/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.27
-8% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
23.0 Crosses 19.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0

Brescia vs Frosinone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brescia
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Frosinone
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.50 xG 1.79
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
374 Passes 284
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.01.2023 Brescia Brescia 1-3 HT 1-2 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
21.08.2022 Frosinone Frosinone 3-0 HT 1-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
20.02.2022 Brescia Brescia 2-2 HT 1-1 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
20.09.2021 Frosinone Frosinone 2-2 HT 2-1 Brescia Brescia İTB
13.03.2021 Frosinone Frosinone 0-1 HT 0-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
28.11.2020 Brescia Brescia 1-2 HT 1-1 Frosinone Frosinone İTB

Brescia 4-0 Frosinone — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brescia
4-0
AWAY Frosinone
2.35 xG 0.41
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
364 Passes 384
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
33 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brescia vs Frosinone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brescia swept aside Frosinone 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) promised a tight game; Brescia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brescia had 49% of the ball to Frosinone's 51%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 2.35 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Frosinone led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brescia and 2.00 for Frosinone.

What was the final score of Brescia vs Frosinone?

Brescia 4-0 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie B on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brescia vs Frosinone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brescia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Brescia 37%, draw 32%, Frosinone 31%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brescia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brescia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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