FC Bari 1908 2-0 Mantova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.81
6+ Goals
9%
16.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.63
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
18%
4.4
X/2
5%
7.86
X/X
13%
4.35
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
17%
6.02
2/X
9%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Mantova EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -23%
1.19/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.14
-9% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -84% / +32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
23.2 Crosses 20.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bari 1908
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mantova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
28.02.2009 Mantova Mantova 0-2 HT 0-2 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
03.10.2008 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-0 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
23.02.2008 Mantova Mantova 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
25.09.2007 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-0 HT 1-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
23.04.2007 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 0-1 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
02.12.2006 Mantova Mantova 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Bari 1908
2-0
AWAY Mantova
1.46 xG 0.56
31% Ball Possession 69%
13 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
209 Passes 534
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Bari 1908 vs Mantova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Bari 1908 beat Mantova 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Bari 1908 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 31% of the ball to Mantova's 69%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.46 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Bari 1908 and 0.33 for Mantova.

What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Mantova?

FC Bari 1908 2-0 Mantova in the Italy - Serie B on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Mantova?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Bari 1908 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 45%, draw 28%, Mantova 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Bari 1908), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Bari 1908) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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