Al Ahed 2-2 Jwaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-6.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Jwaya EU Bookmakers 40%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
0.59/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-40% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
279 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahed
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Jwaya
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
20.07.2026 Jwaya 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahed Al Ahed LUBN
06.02.2026 Jwaya 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahed Al Ahed LUBN
04.10.2025 Al Ahed Al Ahed 1-0 HT 0-0 Jwaya LUBN
POST-MATCH Al Ahed vs Jwaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahed and Jwaya couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Ahed had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Ahed and 0.67 for Jwaya.

What was the final score of Al Ahed vs Jwaya?

Al Ahed 2-2 Jwaya in the Lebanon - Premier League on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahed vs Jwaya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jwaya win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Ahed 31%, draw 30%, Jwaya 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jwaya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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