Jwaya 2-0 Al Ahed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 20 Jul 2026

📅20/07/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-4.8pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.8pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.7pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jwaya EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 38%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.73/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.14
-18% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -34%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jwaya
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Ahed
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.02.2026 Jwaya 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahed Al Ahed LUBN
04.10.2025 Al Ahed Al Ahed 1-0 HT 0-0 Jwaya LUBN
POST-MATCH Jwaya vs Al Ahed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jwaya beat Al Ahed 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 34% / 34%) promised a tight game; Jwaya found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Ahed led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Jwaya and 1.00 for Al Ahed.

What was the final score of Jwaya vs Al Ahed?

Jwaya 2-0 Al Ahed in the Lebanon - Premier League on 20/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jwaya vs Al Ahed?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahed win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Jwaya 32%, draw 34%, Al Ahed 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (32/34/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
20 Jul 2026
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