Al Ansar 1-1 Al Nejmeh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 20 Jul 2026

📅20/07/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.7pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.2pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ansar EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nejmeh EU Bookmakers 33%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.15/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/1.08
-3% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +120% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ansar
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Nejmeh
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2026 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ansar Al Ansar LUBN
21.09.2025 Al Ansar Al Ansar 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh LUBN
08.07.2025 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh 1-6 HT 0-4 Al Ansar Al Ansar LUBN
23.05.2025 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ansar Al Ansar LUBN
25.04.2025 Al Ansar Al Ansar 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh LUBN
19.02.2025 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ansar Al Ansar LUBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ansar
1-1
AWAY Al Nejmeh
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ansar vs Al Nejmeh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ansar and Al Nejmeh shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ansar at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ansar had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Ansar and 0.83 for Al Nejmeh.

What was the final score of Al Ansar vs Al Nejmeh?

Al Ansar 1-1 Al Nejmeh in the Lebanon - Premier League on 20/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ansar vs Al Nejmeh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ansar win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Ansar 41%, draw 31%, Al Nejmeh 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ansar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ansar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
20 Jul 2026
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