Al Ansar 1-2 Al Nejmeh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
42%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
5%
2/1
15%
2/2
24%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-8.9pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.4pp
42%
Away Win
29%
+13.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.5pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ansar EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nejmeh EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+66% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
317 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ansar
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Nejmeh
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
08.07.2025 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh 1-6 HT 0-4 Al Ansar Al Ansar LUBN
23.05.2025 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ansar Al Ansar LUBN
25.04.2025 Al Ansar Al Ansar 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh LUBN
19.02.2025 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ansar Al Ansar LUBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ansar
1-2
AWAY Al Nejmeh
69% Ball Possession 31%
9 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ansar vs Al Nejmeh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nejmeh nicked a narrow win over Al Ansar 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 21% / 42% — and on the day Al Nejmeh made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Al Ansar had 69% of the ball to Al Nejmeh's 31%, shots finished 9-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Ansar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Ansar and 0.75 for Al Nejmeh.

What was the final score of Al Ansar vs Al Nejmeh?

Al Ansar 1-2 Al Nejmeh in the Lebanon - Premier League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ansar vs Al Nejmeh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nejmeh win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Ansar 37%, draw 21%, Al Nejmeh 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nejmeh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nejmeh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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