Tadamon Sour 1-1 Safa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.18
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
64%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
47%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
11%
+4.6pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.9pp
65%
Away Win
71%
-6.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tadamon Sour EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Safa EU Bookmakers 75%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.50/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.65/0.34
-31% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +140%
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
237 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tadamon Sour
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Safa
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 3.25
02.07.2025 Safa Safa 5-2 HT 3-1 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour LUBN
18.05.2025 Safa Safa 3-0 HT 0-0 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour LUBN
18.04.2025 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour 0-2 HT 0-1 Safa Safa LUBN
02.03.2025 Safa Safa 3-1 HT 1-0 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour LUBN
POST-MATCH Tadamon Sour vs Safa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tadamon Sour and Safa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Safa at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Safa led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Tadamon Sour and 3.25 for Safa.

What was the final score of Tadamon Sour vs Safa?

Tadamon Sour 1-1 Safa in the Lebanon - Premier League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tadamon Sour vs Safa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Safa win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Tadamon Sour 16%, draw 20%, Safa 65%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Safa), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Safa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
21 Sep 2025
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