Chelsea 1-1 Crystal Palace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 1 Sep 2024

Chelsea
1-1 HT 1-0
Crystal Palace
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Chelsea vs Crystal Palace Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.92
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
27%
2.78
6+ Goals
14%
7.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.06
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
20%
4.15
X/2
6%
9.99
X/X
11%
6.2
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
20.3
2/2
11%
6.88
2/X
7%
14.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.3 — our 7% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chelsea v Crystal Palace — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -11%
2.00/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.45
+1% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
442 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
18.5 Crosses 15.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Chelsea vs Crystal Palace Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.52 xG 0.69
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
560 Passes 250
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.02.2024 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-3 HT 1-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
27.12.2023 Chelsea Chelsea 2-1 HT 1-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
15.01.2023 Chelsea Chelsea 1-0 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
01.10.2022 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-2 HT 1-1 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
17.04.2022 Chelsea Chelsea 2-0 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace FAK
19.02.2022 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-1 HT 0-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP

Chelsea 1-1 Crystal Palace — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea
1-1
AWAY Crystal Palace
2.37 xG 0.54
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
532 Passes 276
90% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chelsea vs Crystal Palace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea and Crystal Palace couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Chelsea at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chelsea had 63% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 37%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 2.37 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Chelsea and 0.50 for Crystal Palace.

What was the final score of Chelsea vs Crystal Palace?

Chelsea 1-1 Crystal Palace in the England - Premier League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea vs Crystal Palace?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 54%, draw 23%, Crystal Palace 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chelsea), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
1 Sep 2024
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