Manchester United vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Manchester United v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals
Manchester United vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Manchester United
İNP
7-0
HT 1-0
Manchester United
İNP
2-1
HT 1-0
Liverpool
İNP
Manchester United 0-3 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool cruised past Manchester United 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.
On the day, Manchester United had 53% of the ball to Liverpool's 47%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.36 to 1.79.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Manchester United and 2.67 for Liverpool.
What was the final score of Manchester United vs Liverpool?
Manchester United 0-3 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Manchester United vs Liverpool?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Manchester United 26%, draw 25%, Liverpool 49%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.