Manchester United 0-3 Liverpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒02:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.89
Over 2.5
62%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.38
No
42%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.71
2-3 Goals
35%
2.15
4-5 Goals
29%
2.49
6+ Goals
15%
5.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.96
1/2
9%
20.75
1/X
11%
12.75
X/1
13%
6.96
X/2
14%
5.37
X/X
8%
6.45
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
18%
2.79
2/X
6%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
31%
+7.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
69%
-7.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.3pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool EU Bookmakers 48%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.92/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.91/0.36
+43% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 463 · 84%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
12.3 Crosses 13.0
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Liverpool
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.54 xG 2.33
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
276 Passes 489
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 48
10 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Manchester United Manchester United 2-2 HT 0-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
17.03.2024 Manchester United Manchester United 4-3 HT 1-2 Liverpool Liverpool FAK
17.12.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 0-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
05.03.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 7-0 HT 1-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
22.08.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 2-1 HT 1-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
12.07.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 4-0 HT 3-0 Liverpool Liverpool HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United
0-3
AWAY Liverpool
1.49 xG 1.89
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
380 Passes 453
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
36 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Manchester United vs Liverpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool cruised past Manchester United 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Manchester United had 47% of the ball to Liverpool's 53%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.49 to 1.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Manchester United and 2.17 for Liverpool.

What was the final score of Manchester United vs Liverpool?

Manchester United 0-3 Liverpool in the Friendlies on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United vs Liverpool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Manchester United 34%, draw 25%, Liverpool 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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