Wolverhampton 3-0 RB Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
40%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.59
Over 2.5
46%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.43
No
52%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
5.85
2-3 Goals
40%
2.05
4-5 Goals
21%
2.6
6+ Goals
9%
5.94
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.85 — our 30% vs market 12.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.0
1/2
9%
20.75
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
13%
8.2
X/2
13%
4.93
X/X
19%
5.9
2/1
5%
31.5
2/2
17%
2.47
2/X
5%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
40%
Away Win
49%
-8.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
35%
+19.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
65%
-19.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
66%
-17.4pp
52%
BTTS No
34%
+17.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig EU Bookmakers 52%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -64% / -64%
1.33/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+3% / +132% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -37%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 79%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolverhampton
3-0
AWAY RB Leipzig
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wolverhampton vs RB Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolverhampton swept aside RB Leipzig 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Wolverhampton made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Wolverhampton had 60% of the ball to RB Leipzig's 40%, shots finished 11-4.

What was the final score of Wolverhampton vs RB Leipzig?

Wolverhampton 3-0 RB Leipzig in the Friendlies on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolverhampton vs RB Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated an RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton 32%, draw 28%, RB Leipzig 40%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (RB Leipzig), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RB Leipzig) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
4 Aug 2024
00:30 Chelsea vs Manchester City Analysis →
00:40 Club America vs Aston Villa Analysis →
02:00 Barcelona vs Real Madrid Analysis →
02:00 Crystal Palace vs West Ham United Analysis →
02:45 Manchester United vs Liverpool Analysis →
12:00 Monaco vs Genoa Analysis →