Monaco 1-2 Genoa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Aug 2024

Monaco
1-2 HT 0-1
Genoa
📅04/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Monaco vs Genoa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.54
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.89
6+ Goals
10%
8.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.54 — our 29% vs market 17.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.29
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.95
X/1
14%
4.31
X/2 EV+ ✗
15%
8.66
X/X
17%
5.81
2/1
6%
21.0
2/2
12%
5.94
2/X
5%
14.3
Value flag · X/2 at 8.66 — our 15% vs market 8.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
53%
-13.1pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.2pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monaco v Genoa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monaco EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa EU Bookmakers 28%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.91/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/1.36
-50% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –

Monaco vs Genoa Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monaco
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Genoa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
29.07.2023 Genoa Genoa 1-0 HT 1-0 Monaco Monaco HAZ
POST-MATCH Monaco vs Genoa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genoa edged past Monaco 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Genoa made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Monaco vs Genoa?

Monaco 1-2 Genoa in the Friendlies on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monaco vs Genoa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Monaco 40%, draw 27%, Genoa 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Monaco) ✗ BTTS No
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