Club America 1-0 Aston Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒00:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.87
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
47%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.63
Over 2.5
57%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
6.27
2-3 Goals
35%
2.1
4-5 Goals
28%
2.54
6+ Goals
12%
5.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
22%
+9.2pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.9pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-8.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
34%
+8.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
66%
-8.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.2pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club America EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa EU Bookmakers 60%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -24%
0.55/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/2.47
-55% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -53%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
241 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Club America vs Aston Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America squeezed past Aston Villa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Aston Villa at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Club America vs Aston Villa?

Club America 1-0 Aston Villa in the Friendlies on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club America vs Aston Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Club America 32%, draw 21%, Aston Villa 47%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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