Utebo 3-0 Arenas de Getxo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.48
Over 2.5
47%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.6pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.1pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
64%
-10.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
36%
+10.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.6pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utebo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Arenas de Getxo EU Bookmakers 28%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +0%
1.62/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.01
+28% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 28.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utebo
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Arenas de Getxo
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2024 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 1-1 HT 1-0 Utebo Utebo İS4
03.09.2023 Utebo Utebo 0-2 HT 0-1 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
19.03.2023 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 1-0 HT 0-0 Utebo Utebo İS4
30.10.2022 Utebo Utebo 0-2 HT 0-0 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utebo
3-0
AWAY Arenas de Getxo
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Utebo vs Arenas de Getxo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utebo cruised past Arenas de Getxo 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Utebo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Utebo had 43% of the ball to Arenas de Getxo's 57%, shots finished 6-15.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arenas de Getxo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Utebo and 1.50 for Arenas de Getxo.

What was the final score of Utebo vs Arenas de Getxo?

Utebo 3-0 Arenas de Getxo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utebo vs Arenas de Getxo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utebo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Utebo 47%, draw 24%, Arenas de Getxo 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utebo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Utebo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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