Udinese 1-0 Como — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 1 Sep 2024

Udinese
1-0 HT 1-0
Como
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.7
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.33
6+ Goals
10%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.16
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.55
X/1
15%
4.66
X/2
7%
6.41
X/X
10%
4.07
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
12%
4.95
2/X
9%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Udinese win — 47%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+4.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Udinese EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Como EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.31/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.81
+0% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
17.8 Crosses 22.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Udinese
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Como
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.04.2003 Udinese Udinese 3-2 HT 1-0 Como Como İTA
18.12.2002 Como Como 0-2 HT 0-1 Udinese Udinese İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Udinese
1-0
AWAY Como
0.98 xG 1.68
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
321 Passes 417
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Udinese vs Como
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Udinese edged past Como 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Udinese as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Udinese had 44% of the ball to Como's 56%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 0.98 to 1.68 — the balance of chances actually favoured Como.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Udinese had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Udinese and 1.00 for Como.

What was the final score of Udinese vs Como?

Udinese 1-0 Como in the Italy - Serie A on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Udinese vs Como?

Before kick-off our model rated a Udinese win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Udinese 47%, draw 27%, Como 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Udinese), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Udinese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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