Genoa 0-2 Hellas Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.66
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.83
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
11%
4.28
X/2
10%
7.24
X/X
10%
3.95
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
15%
5.93
2/X
10%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genoa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellas Verona EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.44/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.23
+6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
20.3 Crosses 15.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genoa
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Hellas Verona
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.25 xG 1.12
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 Passes 333
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-2 HT 1-1 Genoa Genoa İTA
10.11.2023 Genoa Genoa 1-0 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
04.04.2022 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-0 HT 1-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
25.09.2021 Genoa Genoa 3-3 HT 0-1 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
20.02.2021 Genoa Genoa 2-2 HT 0-1 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
19.10.2020 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-0 HT 0-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genoa
0-2
AWAY Hellas Verona
1.50 xG 1.54
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
370 Passes 244
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Genoa vs Hellas Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hellas Verona saw off Genoa 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Genoa at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Genoa had 58% of the ball to Hellas Verona's 42%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.50 to 1.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genoa had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Genoa and 1.17 for Hellas Verona.

What was the final score of Genoa vs Hellas Verona?

Genoa 0-2 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genoa vs Hellas Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genoa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Genoa 44%, draw 26%, Hellas Verona 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Genoa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Genoa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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