Fiorentina vs Monza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fiorentina v Monza — Team-Based Signals
Fiorentina vs Monza Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Fiorentina
İTA
3-2
HT 2-2
Fiorentina
İTA
1-1
HT 1-0
Monza
İTA
Fiorentina 2-2 Monza — Actual Match Statistics
Fiorentina and Monza shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Fiorentina had 68% of the ball to Monza's 32%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 2.07 to 0.30.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fiorentina had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fiorentina and 1.25 for Monza.
What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Monza?
Fiorentina 2-2 Monza in the Italy - Serie A on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fiorentina vs Monza?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 52%, draw 25%, Monza 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Fiorentina), BTTS No went the other way.