Juventus 0-0 Roma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.84
6+ Goals
11%
16.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.84 — our 23% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.3
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
19%
4.01
X/2
9%
9.22
X/X
11%
4.55
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
2/2
10%
7.41
2/X
7%
15.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma EU Bookmakers 24%
+10% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -21%
1.58/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.61
+1% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 80%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
16.5 Crosses 16.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Roma
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.01 xG 1.31
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
392 Passes 403
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Roma Roma 1-1 HT 1-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
30.12.2023 Juventus Juventus 1-0 HT 0-0 Roma Roma İTA
05.03.2023 Roma Roma 1-0 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
27.08.2022 Juventus Juventus 1-1 HT 1-0 Roma Roma İTA
09.01.2022 Roma Roma 3-4 HT 1-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
17.10.2021 Juventus Juventus 1-0 HT 1-0 Roma Roma İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
0-0
AWAY Roma
0.50 xG 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
426 Passes 429
90% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juventus vs Roma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus and Roma played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Juventus at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Juventus had 50% of the ball to Roma's 50%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.50 to 0.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Juventus and 1.00 for Roma.

What was the final score of Juventus vs Roma?

Juventus 0-0 Roma in the Italy - Serie A on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus vs Roma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Juventus 50%, draw 25%, Roma 26%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Juventus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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