Mantova vs Salernitana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mantova v Salernitana — Team-Based Signals
Mantova vs Salernitana Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-2
Mantova
İTB
1-1
HT 1-1
Salernitana
İTB
1-1
HT 1-1
Salernitana
İTB
2-1
HT 2-0
Mantova
İTB
Mantova 1-0 Salernitana — Actual Match Statistics
Mantova edged past Salernitana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Mantova made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Mantova had 55% of the ball to Salernitana's 45%, shots finished 7-5, expected goals 0.43 to 0.17.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mantova and 1.25 for Salernitana.
What was the final score of Mantova vs Salernitana?
Mantova 1-0 Salernitana in the Italy - Serie B on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mantova vs Salernitana?
Before kick-off our model rated an Salernitana win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mantova 35%, draw 26%, Salernitana 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Salernitana) went the other way.