Spezia vs Cesena Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spezia v Cesena — Team-Based Signals
Spezia vs Cesena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Cesena
İTB
1-0
HT 1-0
Spezia
İTB
1-0
HT 0-0
Spezia
İTB
1-0
HT 0-0
Cesena
İTB
1-2
HT 0-1
Spezia
İTB
1-1
HT 0-1
Cesena
İTB
Spezia 2-1 Cesena — Actual Match Statistics
Spezia squeezed past Cesena 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Spezia as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Spezia had 46% of the ball to Cesena's 54%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.42 to 1.26.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cesena led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Spezia and 1.00 for Cesena.
What was the final score of Spezia vs Cesena?
Spezia 2-1 Cesena in the Italy - Serie B on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spezia vs Cesena?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spezia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Spezia 43%, draw 28%, Cesena 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spezia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.