Palermo 1-1 Cosenza Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 Sep 2024

Palermo
1-1 HT 0-1
Cosenza Calcio
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Palermo vs Cosenza Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.66
6+ Goals
10%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 29% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.59
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
16%
4.27
X/2
13%
7.64
X/X
14%
4.71
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
9%
5.82
2/X
7%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Palermo v Cosenza Calcio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palermo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.60/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.35
+11% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
24.4 Crosses 19.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2

Palermo vs Cosenza Calcio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palermo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.22 xG 1.15
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
412 Passes 253
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-1 HT 0-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
22.09.2023 Palermo Palermo 0-1 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
10.04.2023 Palermo Palermo 0-0 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
12.11.2022 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 3-2 HT 1-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
30.03.2019 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-1 HT 1-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
03.11.2018 Palermo Palermo 2-1 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB

Palermo 1-1 Cosenza Calcio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palermo
1-1
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
2.27 xG 0.98
52% Ball Possession 48%
21 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 8
319 Passes 294
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
36 Box Touches 27
34 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Palermo vs Cosenza Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palermo and Cosenza Calcio couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Palermo at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Palermo had 52% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 48%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 2.27 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cosenza Calcio led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Palermo and 1.17 for Cosenza Calcio.

What was the final score of Palermo vs Cosenza Calcio?

Palermo 1-1 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palermo vs Cosenza Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Palermo 45%, draw 28%, Cosenza Calcio 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Palermo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palermo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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