Cosenza Calcio 1-1 Palermo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 13 Apr 2024

Cosenza Calcio
1-1 HT 0-1
Palermo
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Cosenza Calcio vs Palermo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 28% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.4
1/2
9%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
13%
5.32
X/2
13%
6.07
X/X
12%
4.54
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
15%
4.1
2/X
6%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cosenza Calcio v Palermo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Palermo EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.50/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.21
-15% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
26.0 Crosses 20.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Cosenza Calcio vs Palermo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cosenza Calcio
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Palermo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.09 xG 1.31
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
257 Passes 381
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
22.09.2023 Palermo Palermo 0-1 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
10.04.2023 Palermo Palermo 0-0 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
12.11.2022 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 3-2 HT 1-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
30.03.2019 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-1 HT 1-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
03.11.2018 Palermo Palermo 2-1 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
26.01.2003 Palermo Palermo 1-0 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB

Cosenza Calcio 1-1 Palermo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cosenza Calcio
1-1
AWAY Palermo
1.44 xG 0.78
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
233 Passes 567
80% Pass Accuracy 90%
12 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cosenza Calcio vs Palermo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cosenza Calcio and Palermo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cosenza Calcio had 32% of the ball to Palermo's 68%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.44 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cosenza Calcio and 1.00 for Palermo.

What was the final score of Cosenza Calcio vs Palermo?

Cosenza Calcio 1-1 Palermo in the Italy - Serie B on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cosenza Calcio vs Palermo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cosenza Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cosenza Calcio 38%, draw 26%, Palermo 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) ✓ BTTS Yes
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