Parma vs Spezia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Parma v Spezia — Team-Based Signals
Parma vs Spezia Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Parma
İTB
2-2
HT 0-2
Parma
İTA
2-2
HT 1-2
Spezia
İTA
0-2
HT 0-1
Parma
İTB
0-0
HT 0-0
Spezia
İTB
Parma 2-0 Spezia — Actual Match Statistics
Parma got the better of Spezia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Parma as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Parma had 48% of the ball to Spezia's 52%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.77 to 0.38.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Parma had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Parma and 0.80 for Spezia.
What was the final score of Parma vs Spezia?
Parma 2-0 Spezia in the Italy - Serie B on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Parma vs Spezia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Parma win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Parma 47%, draw 27%, Spezia 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Parma), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.