Cittadella 0-0 Ascoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.21
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
5.6
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.98
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.4
X/1
11%
4.28
X/2
16%
7.11
X/X
15%
3.54
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
9%
6.1
2/X
8%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.5pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cittadella EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ascoli EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -19%
1.33/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.48
+3% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
290 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 71%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
23.6 Crosses 16.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cittadella
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Ascoli
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.51 xG 0.81
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
289 Passes 238
72% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2023 Ascoli Ascoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
04.02.2023 Cittadella Cittadella 3-0 HT 1-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
03.09.2022 Ascoli Ascoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
25.04.2022 Ascoli Ascoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
11.12.2021 Cittadella Cittadella 2-0 HT 1-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
07.05.2021 Ascoli Ascoli 2-0 HT 2-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cittadella
0-0
AWAY Ascoli
0.97 xG 0.27
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
264 Passes 286
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 8
15 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cittadella vs Ascoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cittadella and Ascoli fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Cittadella at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Cittadella had 50% of the ball to Ascoli's 50%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.97 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cittadella had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cittadella and 0.33 for Ascoli.

What was the final score of Cittadella vs Ascoli?

Cittadella 0-0 Ascoli in the Italy - Serie B on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cittadella vs Ascoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 41%, draw 29%, Ascoli 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cittadella) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cittadella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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