Pisa 3-1 FeralpiSalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.74
6+ Goals
8%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 33% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.61
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
12%
4.35
X/2
8%
7.79
X/X
14%
4.49
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
14%
5.95
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.4pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pisa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.37/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.64
-12% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
22.5 Crosses 14.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pisa
1W-0D-0L
AWAY FeralpiSalo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.96 xG 1.30
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
439 Passes 246
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2023 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 0-1 HT 0-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pisa
3-1
AWAY FeralpiSalo
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
307 Passes 277
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH Pisa vs FeralpiSalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pisa got the better of FeralpiSalo 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pisa as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pisa had 52% of the ball to FeralpiSalo's 48%, shots finished 12-16.

What was the final score of Pisa vs FeralpiSalo?

Pisa 3-1 FeralpiSalo in the Italy - Serie B on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pisa vs FeralpiSalo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pisa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pisa 46%, draw 26%, FeralpiSalo 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pisa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pisa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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