Lumezzane 0-2 Pro Vercelli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.31
6+ Goals
10%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.1pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.8pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.25/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.37
+2% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lumezzane
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Pro Vercelli
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.01.2024 Lumezzane Lumezzane 0-3 HT 0-2 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
04.09.2023 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 4-1 HT 2-1 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
05.01.2014 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-0 HT 1-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lumezzane
0-2
AWAY Pro Vercelli
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lumezzane vs Pro Vercelli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Vercelli got the better of Lumezzane 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Pro Vercelli found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Lumezzane had 60% of the ball to Pro Vercelli's 40%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pro Vercelli led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Lumezzane and 2.67 for Pro Vercelli.

What was the final score of Lumezzane vs Pro Vercelli?

Lumezzane 0-2 Pro Vercelli in the Italy - Serie C on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lumezzane vs Pro Vercelli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lumezzane win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lumezzane 38%, draw 25%, Pro Vercelli 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lumezzane) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lumezzane) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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